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Trip.com Group slides as softer outlook and regulatory overhang keep pressure on shares

Trip.com Group (TCOM) is down 3.2% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.

Analysis: The most likely driver appears to be continued fallout from Trip.com’s late-June results, which showed a sharp drop in quarterly net income and a much softer near-term revenue outlook than investors had been expecting. Ongoing antitrust scrutiny in China and recent analyst target cuts seem to be adding to the cautious tone around the stock.

Details:

  • Trip.com reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of RMB16.2 billion, up 17% year over year, but net income fell to RMB2.5 billion from RMB4.3 billion a year earlier.
  • The company said second-quarter 2026 revenue is expected to grow about 3% to 8% year over year, a slower pace than the first quarter, with management also warning that margins and bottom-line results could be affected.
  • Trip.com disclosed that China’s State Administration for Market Regulation is investigating whether the company abused a dominant market position under the country’s Anti-Monopoly Law.
  • Following the earnings release, several analysts lowered price targets, and at least one firm downgraded the shares, reinforcing concerns that growth could moderate while regulatory risks remain unresolved.
  • Sources:

    Trip.com Group Investor Relations, SEC, MarketBeat

    Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

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    $TCOM Hedge Fund Activity

    We have seen 142 institutional investors add shares of $TCOM stock to their portfolio, and 192 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

    Here are some of the largest recent moves:

    To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

    $TCOM Price Targets

    Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $TCOM recently. We have seen 7 analysts offer price targets for $TCOM in the last 6 months, with a median target of $64.0.

    Here are some recent targets:

    • Ella Ji from China Renaissance set a target price of $42.0 on 07/02/2026
    • Joyce Ju from B of A Securities set a target price of $64.0 on 06/29/2026
    • Ellie Jiang from Macquarie set a target price of $44.3 on 06/26/2026
    • Jiong Shao from Barclays set a target price of $60.0 on 06/26/2026
    • James Lee from Mizuho set a target price of $65.0 on 06/25/2026
    • Fawne Jiang from Benchmark set a target price of $65.0 on 06/25/2026
    • Kevin Kopelman from TD Cowen set a target price of $68.0 on 02/26/2026

    This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.

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