Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is down 4.1% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.
Analysis: The move appears counterintuitive because Marathon Petroleum posted a very strong second quarter, driven by unusually strong refining margins and solid operating execution. This could be because investors are treating the results as peak-cycle earnings and taking profits, rather than reacting to any obvious weakness in the quarter itself.
Details:
Marathon Petroleum’s second-quarter presentation showed diluted earnings per share of $17.73 and adjusted EBITDA of $8.46 billion, indicating a quarter that was materially stronger than its recent results.The refining and marketing segment generated $6.66 billion of adjusted EBITDA, with 94% utilization and 112% margin capture, pointing to exceptionally strong plant performance and commercial execution.The company returned about $2.8 billion to shareholders during the quarter through dividends and share repurchases, while consolidated cash and cash equivalents stood at roughly $7.8 billion at June 30, 2026.Industry refining margins had already been lifted by fuel-market disruptions tied to Middle East supply stress earlier in 2026, so some investors may be questioning how sustainable this unusually favorable environment will be after a powerful run in refining stocks.Sources:
Marathon Petroleum, SEC, Investing.com
Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.
$MPC Insider Trading Activity
$MPC insiders have traded $MPC stock on the open market 8 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 8 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $MPC stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
- MICHAEL A II HENSCHEN (Ex VP, Refining) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 11,625 shares for an estimated $2,773,342.
- RICKY D. HESSLING (Chief Commercial Officer) has made 0 purchases and 5 sales selling 4,473 shares for an estimated $1,015,422.
To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API insider transaction endpoint.
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$MPC Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 783 institutional investors add shares of $MPC stock to their portfolio, and 799 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
- BOSTON PARTNERS removed 2,133,787 shares (-37.8%) from their portfolio in Q2 2026, for an estimated $545,545,322
- BLACKROCK, INC. added 1,969,621 shares (+8.8%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $480,942,055
- WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP removed 1,566,349 shares (-21.7%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $382,471,098
- QUBE RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGIES LTD removed 1,440,039 shares (-91.3%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $351,628,723
- FMR LLC added 1,439,068 shares (+41.4%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $351,391,624
- HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P removed 1,225,990 shares (-30.4%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $299,362,238
- STATE STREET CORP added 1,090,693 shares (+6.1%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $266,325,416
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.
$MPC Government Contracts
We have seen $557,074,934 of award payments to $MPC over the last year.
Here are some of the awards which we have have seen pay out the most over the last year:
To track government contracts to publicy traded companies, check out Quiver Quantitative's government contracts dashboard. You can access data on government contracts through the Quiver Quantitative API government contracts endpoint.
$MPC Congressional Stock Trading
Members of Congress have traded $MPC stock 4 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 4 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $MPC stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:
To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard. You can access data on congressional stock trades through the Quiver Quantitative API Congress trades endpoint.
$MPC Price Targets
Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $MPC recently. We have seen 12 analysts offer price targets for $MPC in the last 6 months, with a median target of $270.0.
Here are some recent targets:
- Jason Gabelman from TD Cowen set a target price of $315.0 on 06/29/2026
- Joe Laetsch from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $265.0 on 06/12/2026
- Nitin Kumar from Mizuho set a target price of $284.0 on 05/27/2026
- Neil Mehta from Goldman Sachs set a target price of $291.0 on 05/07/2026
- Sam Margolin from Wells Fargo set a target price of $335.0 on 05/06/2026
- Theresa Chen from Barclays set a target price of $270.0 on 05/06/2026
- Vikram Bagri from Citigroup set a target price of $257.0 on 05/06/2026
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.
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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Falls Despite Strong Quarter as Investors May Be Focusing on Peak Margin Risks
Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) is down 4.1% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement.
Analysis: The move appears counterintuitive because Marathon Petroleum posted a very strong second quarter, driven by unusually strong refining margins and solid operating execution. This could be because investors are treating the results as peak-cycle earnings and taking profits, rather than reacting to any obvious weakness in the quarter itself.
Details:
Sources:
Marathon Petroleum, SEC, Investing.com
Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.
$MPC Insider Trading Activity
$MPC insiders have traded $MPC stock on the open market 8 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 8 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $MPC stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API insider transaction endpoint.
$MPC Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 783 institutional investors add shares of $MPC stock to their portfolio, and 799 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.
$MPC Government Contracts
We have seen $557,074,934 of award payments to $MPC over the last year.
Here are some of the awards which we have have seen pay out the most over the last year:
To track government contracts to publicy traded companies, check out Quiver Quantitative's government contracts dashboard. You can access data on government contracts through the Quiver Quantitative API government contracts endpoint.
$MPC Congressional Stock Trading
Members of Congress have traded $MPC stock 4 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 4 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $MPC stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:
To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard. You can access data on congressional stock trades through the Quiver Quantitative API Congress trades endpoint.
$MPC Price Targets
Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $MPC recently. We have seen 12 analysts offer price targets for $MPC in the last 6 months, with a median target of $270.0.
Here are some recent targets:
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.
Read full article here »